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- 🥇 xG Awards: Team Edition
🥇 xG Awards: Team Edition
The Data Darlings, Statistical Superstars and xG Excellers
Well, that’s it. The final whistle has blown, the trophies have been lifted, the tears wiped away (unless you're a Man Utd fan), and your FPL team has been quietly deleted from existence. The 2024/25 Premier League season is officially over.
But fear not - The xG Edge has you covered. Because while the football might be over, the numbers are just getting warmed up.
Today, we’re handing out the only end-of-season awards that actually matter: the ones powered by expected goals. From the teams who tore up the underlying metrics, to the ones who rode their luck all the way to the table's top half - we’re diving deep into the quirks, overperformers, flukes, frauds, and quiet dominators.
Think of it as the Ballon d'Or for nerds.
So grab a coffee, settle in, and enjoy our stat-fuelled celebration of the 2024/25 Premier League season… 📊
📅 Friday 6th June 2025
On today’s menu:
🏆️ Best in the Land Award: The best team in England, according to xG
🏆️ Most Exciting Team Award: Which team was most worth watching?
🏆️ Worst Finisher Award: The winner may surprise you 👀
🧠 xG Snacks
Bite-sized facts to drop in the group chat.
😲 22 of the 26 Man Utd players who took a shot this season underperformed their xG.
🚀 But, the Red Devils are on the verge of signing the two biggest xG over-performers last season - Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha.
⚪️ Tottenham scored 64 goals from 63.98(xG) in the Premier League this season - almost exactly in lines with expectation.
🤯 Southampton, Leicester and Ipswich were all in the bottom three for both xG created and xG conceded.
🔫 PSG only lost on xG six times this season, and three of those were against Arsenal.
Gif by manutd on Giphy
🥇 Best in the Land Award
🏆️ Winner: Liverpool
💬 Why They Won: Arne Slot’s new-look Reds didn’t just impress the eye - they owned the spreadsheets. Liverpool led the league in xG created and were second only to Arsenal in xG conceded.
📊 Stat to Know: Liverpool’s xG Difference (+50.62) was just 0.01 short of the combined total of Arsenal (+28.28) and Man City (+22.35).
⚖️ Edge: Based on underlying numbers, Liverpool were the best team in the Premier League - and the xG models now make them narrow favourites for the 2025/26 title (30–35% chance).
🎢 Most Exciting Team Award
🏆️ Winner: Tottenham
💬 Why They Won: Ange Postecoglou promised entertainment - and he delivered, whether Spurs were tearing teams apart or getting torn apart themselves.
📊 Stat to Know: Spurs matches featured a league-high 133.04(xG) - the most chaotic, end-to-end football in the division. Spurs only created ~4.00(xG) less than Arsenal, but conceded more than everyone still playing in the league next season.
⚖️ Edge: If you want value per minute, book a trip to N17. The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium saw more xG than any other ground in the league this season (71.78). Goals, drama, and defensive mayhem included.
Gif by celticfc on Giphy
🤯 Worst Finishers Award
🏆️ Winner: Everyone
💬 Why They Won: This season saw the worst collective finishing performance of any Premier League season since records began.
📊 Stat to Know: Players scored 1,081 goals from 1,192.66(xG). That’s 111.66 goals which the xG Gods have robbed from us.
⚖️ Edge: The league currently employs Nicolas Jackson, Darwin Nunez, and Rasmus Hojlund. What do you expect?
💸 xG Bets
Smart bets, backed by the data.
✅ Spain to Win (v Portugal) – 10/11
🔒️ Become a ‘Bettor’ subscriber to unlock – 7/4
🔒️ Become a ‘Bettor’ subscriber to unlock – 5/2
🤝 Become a ‘Bettor’ subscriber here: https://xgphilosophy.com/upgrade
⚠️ Bet responsibly. 18+. Odds via oddschecker.com. Help: begambleaware.org.
That’s your data fix for the week.
It may be off-season, but we’re just getting warmed up.
Next up: The xG Awards – Player Edition, featuring the season’s most prolific creators, finishers, frauds, and fan favourites.
Until then, stay curious.
Onwards,
The xG Edge
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